1. Jump in world oil prices adds to downside growth risk in major developed
economies, especially the United States
2. Central banks in United Kingdom and Canada move closer to easing while
ECB is expected to stay on hold
3. Next week’s economic reports will underscore strength in China and EM
4. India becomes latest EM country to take steps to curb inflows
One distinguishing feature of this global expansion has been the impressive performance of economies outside of the developed world. Over the past five years, emerging-mkt. economies have generated GDP growth averaging 6.5% per annum, two percentage points faster than in the 1990s. Moreover, quarter-on-quarter growth has slipped below a 4% pace only once....
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